Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleJohn Healey 92%En tête parmi 9 options
Prévisionnistes
32
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète15 mai 26, 13:0331 déc. 26, 23:59
Tendances
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Règles
Combined conditional market on Burnham becoming PM and who he picks as Chancellor of the Exchequer if he does.
- Please only add Labour MPs as options.
- (Use the "Other" option if you think a non-Labour MP might get the job.) I don't think there are any circumstances under which this market can resolve NA.
- If you have an edge case that I haven't covered in the small print, please let me know.
- Resolves to "Current Role Holder" on this page:
- https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers/chancellor-of-the-exchequer
Marchés ouverts
AI
POLYMARKETNext Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- September 30+7.5pt100%
- September 15+11.9pt100%
- September 9+18.4pt100%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 613,3 k €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- October 31+4.3pt96%
- September 30-0.9pt84%
- September 2581%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETNext Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by which date?
- September 30-1.0pt96%
- October 31-1.4pt96%
- September 11+43.5pt91%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.1pt65.4%
- ChatGPT+2.8pt15.9%
- Grok-1.7pt9.3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 8,3 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt95%
- October 31,90%
- October 15,-2.0pt68%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+16.5pt76.8%
- Moonshot-9.8pt13.1%
- Z.ai-6.5pt6.1%
+8 résultats de plus
- Next Mythos-Class Model released on?
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- When will OpenAI release Astra?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Yulia Putintseva vs Belinda Bencic
- Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released on?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will be Andy Burnham's Chancellor at the end of 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote John Healey à 92% au 1 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will be Andy Burnham's Chancellor at the end of 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will be Andy Burnham's Chancellor at the end of 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Who will be Andy Burnham's Chancellor at the end of 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Combined conditional market on Burnham becoming PM and who he picks as Chancellor of the Exchequer if he does.