KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 29 oct. 2026, 16:56 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Milieu du carnet sélectionné
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Before Jan 1, 2028 43%En tête parmi 6 options
Before Jan 1, 2028 43%Qualité du marché
44 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
4,5 €
Intérêt ouvert
26,7 k $US
Intérêt ouvert élevéAchat / Vente
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2028Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète20 juil. 26, 23:30 UTC8 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Before Sep 1, 2026Perdu
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before Jan 1, 2028
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
KalshiJeanine Pirro announces departure as D.C. U.S. Attorney?
KalshiShawn Fain announces departure as UAW President?
KalshiEd Davey announces departure as Liberal Democrats leader in 2026?
KalshiAndy Burnham out as UK PM by which date?
PolymarketSanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
If Andy Burnham leaves as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Andy BurnhamThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersPrime Minister's Office, 10 Downing StreetCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Andy Burnham leaves as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If Andy Burnham leaves as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Andy Burnham leaves as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Andy Burnham leaves as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Andy Burnham leaves as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Andy Burnham leaves as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.