KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 1, 2028 45%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualité du marché
56 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
14,6 €
Liquidité
22,6 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
20 juil. 26, 23:30 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Jeanine Pirro announces departure as D.C. U.S. Attorney?
KalshiShawn Fain announces departure as UAW President?
KalshiOn what dates will Andy Burnham still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
Manifold MarketsAndy Burnham out as UK PM by which date?
PolymarketWho will be Andy Burnham's Chancellor at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will Andy Burnham meet in person in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If Andy Burnham leaves as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Andy BurnhamThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Jan 1, 2028 à 45% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Andy Burnham leaves as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.