KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesAucune cotation en direct
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 08:00 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Milieu du carnet sélectionné
Before Jul 1, 2027 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Before Jul 1, 2027 10%
Before Jul 1, 2027 10%Qualité du marché
47 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Intérêt ouvert
1,6 k $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
— / —
Before Jul 1, 2027Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 20 minutes
13 juil. 26, 16:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before Jul 1, 2027
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Shawn Fain be forced out of the UAW Presidency due to scandal/crime/etc.?
Manifold MarketsLaurent Nuñez announces departure as Interior Minister of France?
KalshiEd Davey announces departure as Liberal Democrats leader in 2026?
KalshiScott Bessent announces departure as Secretary of the Treasury?
KalshiMarco Rubio announces departure as Secretary of State?
KalshiWill Shawn Fain be the president of the UAW for the rest of his life?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If Shawn Fain leaves as President of the United Auto Workers before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Shawn Fain
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Shawn Fain leaves as President of the United Auto Workers before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Shawn Fain leaves as President of the United Auto Workers before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
