KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 79%
Qualité du marché
42 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
232,3 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
19.0% / 25.0%
Écart
6.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
13 juil. 26, 16:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
If Shawn Fain leaves as President of the United Auto Workers before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Shawn Fain
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Shawn Fain announces departure as UAW President? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 79% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Shawn Fain announces departure as UAW President? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Shawn Fain announces departure as UAW President? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Shawn Fain announces departure as UAW President? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Shawn Fain leaves as President of the United Auto Workers before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.