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Données au 8 sept. 2026, 18:40 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Before Oct 1, 2026 1%
Qualité du marché
23 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
380,3 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
- / 3.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
11 août 26, 00:00 UTC1 oct. 26, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
Règles
If the Senate Majority Leader has resigned or otherwise left their specified position the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSThe New York TimesAxiosCNNReutersThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- An announcement that the official will leave the office within the next year also resolves the market to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour John Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Oct 1, 2026 à 1% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand John Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader? sera-t-il résolu ?
- John Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader? doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2026.
- Comment John Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Senate Majority Leader has resigned or otherwise left their specified position the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.