Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleBe a cabinet minister on 1 April 2027 2.2%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-13.8 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète27 févr. 26, 03:56 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister in 2026, will Labour win the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsUS Govt Sanctions Keir Starmer chief of staff?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?
Manifold MarketsAndy Burnham out as UK PM by which date?
PolymarketAndy Burnham out as UK's Prime Minister by which date?
FutuurPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRègles
Out as PM means he is out as prime minister for any length of time, or announced his exit by 11.59pm 31 Dec 2026 London Time.
- Resolves n/a if Keir Starmer is pm for all of 2026 and has not announced his exit by end of year.
- Stay on= be an mp continuously until then.
- If he leaves parliament, will resolve no immediately, even if he wins a byelection before the next election.
- Add Suggestions for answers below.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour If Keir Starmer is out as UK PM in 2026, will he…? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Be a cabinet minister on 1 April 2027 à 2% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand If Keir Starmer is out as UK PM in 2026, will he…? sera-t-il résolu ?
- If Keir Starmer is out as UK PM in 2026, will he…? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment If Keir Starmer is out as UK PM in 2026, will he…? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Out as PM means he is out as prime minister for any length of time, or announced his exit by 11.59pm 31 Dec 2026 London Time.