Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 24 oct. 2026, 20:22 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Be a cabinet minister on 1 April 2027 2.3%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète27 févr. 26, 03:56 UTC31 déc. 26, 19:34 UTC
Tendances
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister in 2026, will Labour win the next UK general election?
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PolymarketRègles
Out as PM means he is out as prime minister for any length of time, or announced his exit by 11.59pm 31 Dec 2026 London Time.
- Resolves n/a if Keir Starmer is pm for all of 2026 and has not announced his exit by end of year.
- Stay on= be an mp continuously until then.
- If he leaves parliament, will resolve no immediately, even if he wins a byelection before the next election.
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