Will any Manifold user be killed in a volcanic eruption before 2050?

KALSHI

When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?

• Before 2035+19.9pt95%
• Before 2030+6.0pt82%
• Before 2029+7.3pt55%

+2 résultats de plus

Volume total

226,3 k €

Volume 24h

125,2 k €

POLYMARKET

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

• December 31+0.1pt4%
• September 30+0.1pt1%
• April 300%

+3 résultats de plus

KALSHI

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

• Before Jan 20, 2029+1.0pt21%
• Before 202813%
• Before 2027+0.1pt5%

+5 résultats de plus

Volume total

28,6 M €

KALSHI

When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?

• Before 2030+71.0pt92%
• Before 2035+11.0pt56%
• Before 203248%

+1 résultats de plus

Volume total

108,3 k €

KALSHI

Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

• No97%
• Yes-0.9pt3%

Volume total

1,6 M €

Volume 24h

5,2 k €

POLYMARKET

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

• 4.4-4.6m+18.6pt65.7%
• 4.2-4.4m-20.9pt26.5%
• 4.6-4.8m+0.8pt2.9%

+4 résultats de plus