Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 84.7%
Non 84.7%Prévisionnistes
56
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète22 déc. 23, 14:22 UTC1 janv. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
AI tools will cause mass casualties or $500mn harm before 2029 such as would have been covered under SB 1047.
Manifold MarketsWill AI cause the US Unemployment Rate to exceed 10% before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich UBI policy will be adopted after mass unemployment due to AI?
Manifold MarketsWill a singular event cause mass civil unrest in the United States by 2029
Manifold MarketsBy 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?
Manifold MarketsWill "Explosive AI-driven growth" side of bet proposed by Ben Moll win?
Manifold MarketsRègles
To resolve, I'll take direction from the consensus of the mainstream media...
- If major media outlets are saying unemployment has risen to over 25% (I believe that was roughly how bad things got in the American Great Depression?) and unequivocally state that AI is the primary cause, then we got a winner!
