PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
0.2–0.3% 24.3%En tête parmi 7 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualite du marche
54 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
53,6 €
Liquidité
4,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneSpread
3.0 pt
Spread modéréComments
0
Variation 7j
+0.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 minutes
13 août 26, 17:4312 nov. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Règles
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
- If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
- Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market.
- Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
- Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%).
Marchés ouverts
Economy
KALSHIWisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 447,500 jobs97%
- Above 450,000 jobs-2.0pt93%
- Above 452,500 jobs+1.0pt84%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 51,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 10,4 k €
POLYMARKETEurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- 0.8-1.1%-9.0pt49.5%
- 0.4-0.7%-7.0pt31.6%
- 1.2-1.5%-1.3pt9.5%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 120,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,8 k €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No91%
- Yes+1.0pt9%
- Volume total
- 218,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 5,3 k €
KALSHIJobs numbers in Aug 2026?
- Above -25,000-3.0pt85%
- Above 0+4.0pt77%
- Above 20,000+5.0pt71%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 117,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 5,1 k €
- How high will unemployment get in 2026?
- How many jobs added in August?
- ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in August
- US recession by end of 2026?
- 2026 World GDP Growth
- ISM Manufacturing PMI in August
- Recession this year?
- US economic state at the end of 2026?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)? ?
- Polymarket cote 0.2–0.3% à 24% au 26 août 2026.
- Quand UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)? sera-t-il résolu ?
- UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)? doit être résolu le 12 novembre 2026.
- Comment UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.