Prévision communautaire actuelle
No UBI 75.8%En tête parmi 4 options
No UBI 75.8%Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète29 déc. 23, 02:33 UTC1 janv. 40, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Conditional on Mass Unemployment due to AI in the US, which happens first?
Manifold MarketsWill things basically be fine regarding job loss and unemployment due to AI in the next several years?
Manifold MarketsIf the U.S. unemployment doesn't exceed 30% due to AI before 2040, which of these will be major reasons why?
Manifold MarketsWill AI cause mass unemployment... by 2030 ?
Manifold MarketsHow high will the US national average gas price get in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US economy still be "normal" in each of the following ways on February 14, 2029?
Manifold MarketsRègles
UBI Policy Levels:
- Utopian: Equal to or greater than the top 90% annual income in 2023.
- Median: Equal to the median national income in 2023.
- Minimum Wage: Equal to the legal minimum wage in 2023.
- Resolution Criteria:
- Resolves positively for the first universal basic income (UBI) scenario that most closely matches the policy officially adopted in the US or UK (after a 'resolves after' condition is met).
