Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 78.5%
Prévisionnistes
41
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
15 oct. 25, 22:20 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
OpenAI reaches 250GW compute capacity by EOY 2033?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI Goes Broke before 2033 (See criteria)
Manifold MarketsMore valuable company in 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a unicorn founded and operated by just one person by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich will be the lowest range Palantir stock price will reach in the next 2 years?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRègles
See analysis by Epoch AI:
- https://epochai.substack.com/p/openai-is-projecting-unprecedented
- I plan to use that article to handle ambiguities and corner cases (mergers and acquisitions, inflation).
- If there's any doubt about this resolving YES or NO on a technicality, ask the clarifying question before trading.
- The spirit of the question is about whether AI is a bubble.
- Again, any way that you can foresee that the spirit and letter of this market may differ, ask.
