Will there be a unicorn founded and operated by just one person by 2030?
InflationOne-OffOpérations sur titresEntreprises et affairesTechIA4aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 56.8%
Prévisionnistes
227
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète2 févr. 24, 14:06 UTC2 janv. 31, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
To prevent private market shenanigans it will have to be 2 $1bn+ valuation rounds in series, or an acquisition, IPO or direct listing at $1bn+.
- For public markets valuations I will take the valuation at the close of the trading day.
- EDIT - 2025/08/28
- The $1bn amount will be adjusted for inflation using CPI index for year end 2023 as the base year.
- My discretion will be used to adjudicate how contractor use applies to the “one person” criteria.
- I will not bet in this market.
