Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleAt the end of February 2027 10.7%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète18 mai 26, 21:01 UTC28 févr. 27, 19:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Ukraine control any part of Crimea for at least a week before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine control any of Crimea before it takes back most of Luhansk or Donetsk?
Manifold MarketsAt the end of the war, will Ukraine control any territory they didn’t control at the start?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine control Mariupol on Jan 1st 2029?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketWho wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- Each option will resolve YES if, at the stated time, Ukraine has de facto control of the entirety of central Konstantinovka, Donetsk Oblast.
- For the purpose of this market, this refers to the area shaded yellow in the image below:
- [image]Each option will resolve NO if, at the stated time, any part of this area is contested or controlled by Russia.
- For the duration of the war, any YES or NO resolution must be supported by a majority of the following mappers:
- Black Bird Group