Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 76.7%
Prévisionnistes
29
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète24 févr. 24, 22:15 UTC1 mars 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Ukraine take back control of Mariupol while Putin is in power?
Manifold MarketsWill SBF be in jail on Jan 1st 2029
Manifold MarketsAt the end of the war, will Ukraine control any territory they didn’t control at the start?
Manifold MarketsNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
PolymarketWill Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves as YES if Ukraine controls Mariupol on January 1st 2029
Marchés ouverts
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+1.1pt99%
- September 25-2.0pt90%
- September 30-2.0pt80%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 860,6 k €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
- 58,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 326 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.4pt60%
- October 31+3.0pt35%
- September 30-1.0pt8%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31+2.0pt21%
- October 31+2.0pt12%
- September 30+1.1pt4%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETTrump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- December 31+0.7pt97%
- September 25+2.0pt88%
- September 23+7.0pt76%
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Daily
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Ukraine control Mariupol on Jan 1st 2029? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 77% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Ukraine control Mariupol on Jan 1st 2029? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Ukraine control Mariupol on Jan 1st 2029? doit être résolu le 1 mars 2029.
- Comment Will Ukraine control Mariupol on Jan 1st 2029? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves as YES if Ukraine controls Mariupol on January 1st 2029