PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 87.1%+12.5pt
Qualite du marche
61 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,8 k €
Liquidité
5,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
10.0% / 15.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread modéréComments
0
Variation 7j
-16.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 minutes
21 janv. 26, 22:5931 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both Denmark and the United States sign a deal, treaty, or similar international agreement of any kind relating to Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Any U.S.–Danish agreement relating to Greenland will qualify, regardless of subject matter, including but not limited to sovereignty, governance, security arrangements, or access to natural resources.
- Examples of qualifying deals include but are not limited to a treaty that makes any portion of Greenland a U.S. territory or possession (even if the handover date for such territory or possession is later); or, a Guantánamo-style arrangement treaty establishing a defined zone in Greenland under exclusive or primary U.S. jurisdiction and control, where Denmark and Greenland’s ordinary legal authority does not apply except by U.S. permission; or agreements permitting additional U.S. troop stationing, basing access, or resource extraction rights in Greenland.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” only if a qualifying agreement is formally signed by authorized representatives of both Denmark and the United States.
- Official announcements, statements of intent, or declarations that an agreement has been reached will not suffice unless accompanied by signatures from both sides.
