What will be the warning signs for the invasion of Taiwan?
Géopolitique
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
China launches military drills around Taiwan 92%En tête parmi 109 options
Prévisionnistes
37
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 23 heures
Obsolète29 janv. 25, 16:25 UTC1 janv. 00, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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PolymarketRègles
This question resolves once China invades Taiwan.
- The statements that are relevant as warning signs to the invasion of Taiwan, and refer to things that occurred in the 12 months prior to the date of the invasion (or overlap significantly with this period) and up until 48 hours before the invasion start time, resolve as YES.
- The statements must be at least adjacent to Taiwan or connected to significant geopolitical players with China/Taiwan interests.
- Events that could heighten global tensions, be broadly disruptive or are significant historical events are also acceptable.
- This includes but is not limited to major technological developments and catastrophes.
- In the context of this question, the invasion start time is considered to be the first moment a soldier from the Chinese mainland sets foot on the main island of Taiwan as part of an invasion force.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour What will be the warning signs for the invasion of Taiwan? ?
- Manifold Markets cote China launches military drills around Taiwan à 92% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand What will be the warning signs for the invasion of Taiwan? sera-t-il résolu ?
- What will be the warning signs for the invasion of Taiwan? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2100.
- Comment What will be the warning signs for the invasion of Taiwan? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This question resolves once China invades Taiwan.