Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 85.6%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète22 déc. 25, 09:28 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which "The Economist" "World Ahead" predictions for 2026 will come true?
Manifold MarketsPredictions about Syria in 2026
Manifold Markets2026 political predictions (add your own)
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketEuropean country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by which date?
PolymarketU.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if there is no report of these in the common media channels in 2026:
- Velina’s Foresight for 2026:
- 1) No hot war between US, China & Russia (sorry to all folks selling doom-and-gloom about WW3)
- 2) No military attack by China on Taiwan (further rise of tensions)
- 3) No nuclear exchange or direct conventional confrontation between Russia and Europe
- https://x.com/i/status/2002804420896039404