Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Will Syria be Democratic? 28.6%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
39
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
9 déc. 24, 22:54 UTC1 janv. 27, 02:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by which date?
PolymarketWill the United States cease its military campaign in Syria by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel withdraw from the buffer zone with Syria by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Syria recognize Israel by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsIsrael military action against Syria by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target Syria by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Syria has been embroiled in a complex civil war since 2011.
- Recent developments include the overthrow of Assad's government and the emergence of new leadership under Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), an Islamist group that has announced plans for a transitional government and free elections.
- The country faces significant challenges in establishing stability and governance while managing various ethnic, religious, and political factions.
- Resolution Criteria
- Markets will resolve based on the following criteria as of December 31, 2026:
- Secular: Resolves YES if Syria's constitution and legal system explicitly separate religion from state governance.
Marchés ouverts
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- Volume total
- 22,2 M €
- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
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POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
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- Volume total
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POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
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- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Predictions about Syria in 2026 ?
- Manifold Markets cote Will Syria be Democratic? à 29% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Predictions about Syria in 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Predictions about Syria in 2026 doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Predictions about Syria in 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Syria has been embroiled in a complex civil war since 2011.