2026 political predictions (add your own)
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineEuropeCriminalité et justiceIAGéopolitique2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleThe leader of a country will die 100%En tête parmi 13 options
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète29 mai 26, 23:49 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What will happen in the 2026 US Midterm Elections (add your own!)
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Manifold MarketsWhat will be true about the Francis Scott Key bridge disaster by 2025? (Add Your Own Answer)
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens 2026
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- Each option resolves independently to YES or NO based on events starting from today (30th May) through to the end of the year.
- the named outcome: Resolves YES if a head of state or head of government (e.g., President, Prime Minister, Ruling Monarch, Supreme Leader) of a sovereign nation dies while in office during 2026.
- A figure in the Epstein files is prosecuted for wrongdoing: Resolves YES if any individual named in the official documents released is formally arrested, indicted, or criminally charged in connection with the files.
- the named outcome: Resolves YES if a serving president of any sovereign nation is killed in a violent, politically motivated attack.
- the named outcome: Resolves YES if a criminal trial formally begins proceedings in the International Criminal Court during 2026.
