If a Nobel Prize for Economics is awarded to work on prediction markets before 2040, will the recipient be Robin Hanson?
One-OffScienceSociety & Culture13aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 62.7%
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8
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binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète25 avr. 26, 11:46 UTC31 déc. 39, 23:59 UTC
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour If a Nobel Prize for Economics is awarded to work on prediction markets before 2040, will the recipient be Robin Hanson? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 63% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand If a Nobel Prize for Economics is awarded to work on prediction markets before 2040, will the recipient be Robin Hanson? sera-t-il résolu ?
- If a Nobel Prize for Economics is awarded to work on prediction markets before 2040, will the recipient be Robin Hanson? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2039.