Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 82.7%
Prévisionnistes
25
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
10 oct. 25, 07:10 UTC31 déc. 00, 08:10 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Robin Hanson win the Nobel Prize for Economics before his death?
Manifold MarketsIf a Nobel Prize for Economics is awarded to work on prediction markets before 2040, will the recipient be Robin Hanson?
Manifold MarketsWill Robin Hanson receive the Nobel Prize in Economics?
Manifold MarketsAssuming Robin Hanson is awarded the nobel prize, which of his research areas will it be related to?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the men's 2025/2026 Ballon d’Or?
Manifold MarketsThe Game Awards: Game of the Year
KalshiRègles
resolves no if he dies
