Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 87.6%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète16 juin 26, 12:26 UTC1 janv. 42, 11:00 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This question answers YES if Robin Hanson reiceves the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences, regardless if that is due to his work on Prediction Markets / Idea Futures or Futarchy or any other set or subset of his work.
- This question resolves NO if Robin Hanson dies (and remains dead) before he is awarded that prize.
Marchés ouverts
Macro & Economy
KALSHIVisitors to Florida in 2026
- Above 136 million+1.0pt98%
- Above 138 million-2.0pt94%
- Above 140 million+3.0pt80%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 125,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 47,4 k €
KALSHIConnecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
- Above 3,500 units-1.0pt88%
- Above 4,000 units-4.0pt66%
- Above 4,500 units-18.0pt30%
+5 résultats de plus
KALSHIPennsylvania gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.260099%
- Above 4.265099%
- Above 4.270099%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 17,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 17,4 k €
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No93%
- Yes-2.0pt7%
- Volume total
- 2,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 16 k €
KALSHIPort of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
- Above 8.4 million TEUs95%
- Above 8.6 million TEUs+4.0pt85%
- Above 8.7 million TEUs+3.0pt73%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHousing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
- Above 1,700 units-4.0pt82%
- Above 1,600 units-11.0pt80%
- Above 1,800 units-5.0pt68%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- Czech National Bank rate decision in September
- How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
- Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 5, 2026
- Charlottetown, PEI Mayoral Election Winner
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027
- How low will the S&P get this year?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Robin Hanson receive the Nobel Prize in Economics? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 88% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Robin Hanson receive the Nobel Prize in Economics? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Robin Hanson receive the Nobel Prize in Economics? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2042.
- Comment Will Robin Hanson receive the Nobel Prize in Economics? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This question answers YES if Robin Hanson reiceves the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences, regardless if that is due to his work on Prediction Markets / Idea Futures or Futarchy or any other set or subset of his work.