PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: 6.1 or more (99%)
Résolu: 30 oct. 2026, 20:02
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Résultat Gagnant
6.1 or more
À 7 jours
—
À 24 heures
—
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 30 oct. 2026, 17:19 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Chronologie des Probabilités
6.1 or more99%
5.3 to 5.435%
5.7 to 5.81%
5.9 to 6.01%
5.5 to 5.60%
Under 5.31%
6.1 or moreGagné
5.3 to 5.4Perdu
5.7 to 5.8Perdu
5.9 to 6.0Perdu
5.5 to 5.6Perdu
Under 5.3Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What will the biggest earthquake be on October 30, 2026?
PolymarketWhat will the biggest earthquake be on October 31, 2026?
PolymarketWhat will the biggest earthquake be on November 1, 2026?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the magnitude of the largest earthquake recorded globally on October 29, 2026, as reported by the USGS Earthquake Catalog.
- Brackets: the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome.
- Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
- The observation period is the UTC calendar day: 00:00 UTC to 23:59 UTC on October 29, 2026.
- An earthquake is assigned to the day containing its origin time.
- Magnitude refers to the USGS preferred magnitude value, listed under 'Magnitude' in the format column.