Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleAnalytical Chemistry 33.8%En tête parmi 14 options
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète2 janv. 26, 15:15 UTC29 sept. 26, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Physics Nobel 2026: Awarded Field(s) Multimarket
Manifold MarketsWill quantum advantage be demonstrated for practical quantum chemistry problems before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiIf a Nobel Prize for Economics is awarded to work on prediction markets before 2040, will the recipient be Robin Hanson?
Manifold MarketsWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiRègles
These independent markets resolve Yes if any of the 2026 Chemistry Nobels are awarded for work in X, in whole or in large parts.
- Multiple markets can, and probably will, resolve Yes.
- You can request fields I might have forgotten, but I'm not doing too niche things I would have difficulty resolving.
- In case of ambiguity, will discuss in the comments and might resolve N/A. There is some element of subjectivity in the judgement of course, therefore l will not participate to stay impartial.
- I am versed in the field of Chemistry, and will use this knowledge to resolve fairly to the best of my ability.
- I will provide my reasoning on resolution.