Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by which date?
25.0 pts (24h)GeopolíticaOne-OffRusia / Ucrania1a
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
2027 · —
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Referencia guardada
2027 22%Líder entre 3 opciones
2027 22%Calidad del mercado
71 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
2,1 mil €
Liquidez
47,2 mil €
Alta liquidezInterés abierto
13,6 mil US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
2027Spread
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Comentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-1.8 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 28 minutos
5 nov 25, 18:06 UTC1 ene 28, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
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Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
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- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- No
Principales tenedores
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Profundidad de mercado · 2027
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PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede de facto control of all major cities under their control in the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- For the purposes of this market, major cities under Ukrainian control include the following: Kramatorsk, Sloviansk, Kostiantynivka, Druzhkivka, and Pokrovsk.
- The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
- If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
- Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of the listed cities will qualify regardless of if Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty.