PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
December 31 41%Líder entre 7 opciones
Calidad del mercado
67 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
13,1 mil €
Liquidez
4,8 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
142
Cambio 7d
+10.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
4 nov 25, 20:42 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Vovchansk by the named outcome, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Vovchansk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the named outcome, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
- If the territory of municipality is shaded light grey, and is distinguished from bordering municipalities such as "Vovchanski Khutory" with a darker grey line.
- If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, however, the shading does not precisely match up with the border such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- Once Russia captures Vovchansk, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.