NATO downs another Russian drone by which date?
1.0 pts (24h)GeopolíticaOne-OffRussia / UkraineEurope22d
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
September 30 33%-3.5pt
Calidad del mercado
34 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
227,7 €
Liquidez
684,8 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
13.0% / 22.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Spread amplioComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-22.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
28 ago 26, 22:23 UTC30 sept 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a NATO military downs another Russian drone by any means (kinetic, jammer, etc.) between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM Kyiv Time.
- A “Russian drone” refers to any drone that, based on a consensus of credible reporting, was launched from territory under Russia’s de facto control or was operated or directed by Russian forces.
- Where attribution remains ambiguous, the drone’s model and characteristics will be considered supporting evidence.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying incident will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources.
- Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant incident, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the incident based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (CEST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the incident.