PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
December 31, 3%+0.1pt
Calidad del mercado
57 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
3,7 €
Liquidez
15,2 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
2.0% / 3.3%
Spread
1.3 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
1
Cambio 7d
+0.8 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
13 feb 26, 0:08 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will MrBeast (Jimmy Donaldson) be convicted of a crime before the end of 2026?
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KalshiReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Lai is released from custody by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If Lai is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
- If Lai is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
- Transporting Lai to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
- Extradition of Lai to another country where he remains in custody will also not count.
Mercados abiertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+4.0pt77%
- September 18+4.0pt72%
- September 11+8.0pt67%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 512,6 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-0.8pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt50.4%
- October 31-2.5pt27.8%
- September 30-1.0pt12.2%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+5.0pt84.2%
- Yes-5.0pt15.8%
- Volumen total
- 9,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 266,5 mil €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volumen total
- 56,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 170,4 mil €
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Jimmy Lai released by which date??
- Polymarket cotiza December 31, al 3% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Jimmy Lai released by which date??
- Está previsto que Jimmy Lai released by which date? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Jimmy Lai released by which date??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Lai is released from custody by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.