PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónProbabilidad implícita actual>2.5% 43%Líder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
40 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
6,9 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
4.1% / 6.9%
Spread
68.3%
Spread amplioCambio 7d
-0.1%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 minutos
12 nov 25, 23:2229 ene 27, 0:00
Tendencias
Resultado elegido
>2.5%43%
También disponible en Kalshi
US real GDP growth in 2026?
0.8%8m
-0.8%13%
26%
5%
+11 resultados más
28 • Baja calidadSpread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total2,1 mil €
Volumen 24h1 €
KALSHIReglas
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
- Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026.
- Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
US recession by end of 2026?
3,2 mil €Sí: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
792,7 €5.0%: 17%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?
259,9 €Sí: 27.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSJune Unemployment Rate
134,6 €4.4%: 31%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETUS real GDP growth in 2030?
134,2 €2.6% to 3.0%: 11%KALSHI
KALSHI
Reglas
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
- Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026.
- Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.