PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 99%-0.1pt
Calidad del mercado
65 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
20,9 €
Liquidez
17,9 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
0.7% / 2.2%
Spread
1.5 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
10
Cambio 7d
+0.7 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
7 dic 25, 23:21 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
EU dissolves in ?
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PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- 1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
- 2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union. 3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
- EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
Mercados abiertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt76%
- New People (NL)-1.7pt20%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)-0.1pt2%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 27,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 865,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.5pt96%
- Yes+0.5pt4%
- Volumen total
- 36,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 466,5 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-1.1pt54.5%
- October 31-3.5pt30.9%
- September 30-2.0pt11.8%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-1.0pt21%
- October 31-4.5pt13%
- September 30-1.6pt4%
+9 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No83.2%
- Yes16.8%
- Volumen total
- 58 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 136,9 mil €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 resultados más
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de EU dissolves before 2027??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 99% a fecha de 17 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve EU dissolves before 2027??
- Está previsto que EU dissolves before 2027? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida EU dissolves before 2027??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.