PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 98%+0.3pt
Calidad del mercado
73 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
394,1 €
Liquidez
19,1 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
1.5% / 1.9%
Spread
0.4 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
13
Cambio 7d
-0.8 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
8 ene 26, 18:10 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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NATO dissolves by 2028
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- NATO will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- 1) More than half of the NATO member states (as of market creation) withdraw from NATO.
- 2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all NATO member states to repeal or nullify the North Atlantic Treaty. 3) NATO otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
- NATO member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or provide an official notice of denunciation to NATO, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de NATO dissolves before 2027??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 98% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve NATO dissolves before 2027??
- Está previsto que NATO dissolves before 2027? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida NATO dissolves before 2027??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.