PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 82%
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
7,7 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
17.0% / 19.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-0.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 minutos
8 jul 26, 1:18 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China launches a ballistic missile between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Only launches of ballistic missiles, including intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and ballistic anti-ship missiles, will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
- Launches of other systems such as cruise missiles, SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
- The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de China ballistic missile launch by December 31??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 82% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve China ballistic missile launch by December 31??
- Está previsto que China ballistic missile launch by December 31? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida China ballistic missile launch by December 31??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if China launches a ballistic missile between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.