PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 91.1%
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
1,1 mil €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
8.0% / 9.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
1
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
30 abr 26, 19:18 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
When will Rocket Lab’s Neutron make its first flight?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Rocket Lab Neutron launch for the first time?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron
KalshiWill the first Neutron rocket launch be a success ?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
KalshiHow many launches will Rocket Lab have before 2027?
KalshiReglas
If Rocket Lab’s Neutron rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by Rocket Lab (https://www.youtube.com/@RocketLabCorp), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
- Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., explosion or failed ascent) after the initial liftoff will have no bearing on the outcome.
- Any name change or rebranding of the Neutron vehicle will have no bearing on the market’s resolution.
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 91% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31??
- Está previsto que Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Rocket Lab’s Neutron rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”.