Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 90.1%
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado17 abr 23, 7:32 UTC31 dic 29, 16:01 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
PolymarketWhen will Rocket Lab’s Neutron make its first flight?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Rocket Lab Neutron launch for the first time?
Manifold MarketsWhat payloads will the first paid Rocket Lab Neutron launch carry?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron
KalshiWhat will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
PolymarketReglas
This question is essentially designed to capture 'will Neutron be succesful?
- Any Neutron that takes off (no launch tower) will count as a flight (I am not too concerned that there could be 50 failures!)
- https://www.rocketlabusa.com/launch/neutron/
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Rocket Lab's Neutron rocket fly 50 times before 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 90% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Rocket Lab's Neutron rocket fly 50 times before 2030??
- Está previsto que Will Rocket Lab's Neutron rocket fly 50 times before 2030? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Rocket Lab's Neutron rocket fly 50 times before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This question is essentially designed to capture 'will Neutron be succesful?