PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 1 sept 2026, 21:00 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
No 98%-0.2pt
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
3,2 mil €
Liquidez
39,9 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
1.7% / 2.0%
Spread
0.3 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
8
Cambio 7d
+0.2 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado30 abr 26, 18:281 ene 27, 4:59
Tendencias
Reglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level.
- Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercados abiertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 601,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 743,1 mil €
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+1.0pt99%
- Seth Moulton-1.3pt1%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,9 M €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+2.9pt52%
- Marco Rubio+1.3pt18%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt3%
+39 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.9pt61%
- October 31+2.0pt40%
- September 3020%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.1pt20%
- Jon Ossoff-0.1pt16%
- Gavin Newsom15%
+48 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volumen total
- 55 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 283,1 mil €
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- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
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- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Michigan Senate winner?
- Trump out as President before 2027?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Trump goes to space in 2026??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 98% a fecha de 1 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Trump goes to space in 2026??
- Está previsto que Trump goes to space in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Trump goes to space in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.