Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 66.6%
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 27 minutos
19 may 26, 20:40 UTC19 may 76, 20:38 UTC
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This market resolves Yes if Elon Musk personally flies aboard a spacecraft that reaches an altitude exceeding 2,000 km above Earth's surface (or achieves a trajectory that escapes Low Earth Orbit) at any point before his death.
- It resolves No only if he does fly to space (crossing the Kármán line at 100 km) during his lifetime but all of his spaceflights remain in Low Earth Orbit (maximum altitude below 2,000 km).
- The market will be voided (N/A) if Elon Musk never flies to space at all before his death.
