Will the Russian Federation break up into multiple independent states before 2030
One-OffGeopolíticaRusia / Ucrania3aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 90%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado18 ene 23, 12:13 UTC1 ene 30, 12:59 UTC
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For clarity, if a part of Russia secedes as an independent state this would resolve positively.
- If Crimea went back to Ukraine that would not be enough.
- If Crimea became an independent country, that would.