Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?
PolíticaOne-OffEuropaPolítica de EE. UU.Rusia / UcraniaGeopolíticaClimaMaterias primas3aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualTuva 45.2%Líder entre 13 opciones
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado17 oct 25, 10:23 UTC30 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria
- An option resolves to YES if, for that region, all three of the following occur on or before 31 December 2039:
- A formal independence referendum is held.
- Defined as a formal vote organized in-person or online by a recognized local authority, an established exile government, or a clearly significant grassroots movement.
- The referendum must pose the explicit question of secession and full sovereignty from the Russian Federation.
- A majority of valid votes cast must be “Yes.”