Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
0.1 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaGeopolíticaEuropeUS Politics3m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 96%-0.1pt
Calidad del mercado
70 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
175 €
Liquidez
13,2 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
4.2% / 4.4%
Spread
0.2 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
8
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
12 ene 26, 22:57 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsWill Greenland hold an independence referendum in 2026?
PredictItReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
2 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia ponderada por liquidez de CoinRithm para Referencia CoinRithm es del 5%. Las cotizaciones difieren en unos 1 punto porcentual entre las plataformas más alejadas.
Referencia CoinRithm 5% · 2 plataformas · 1 pt de dispersion entre venues