Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
0.1 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaGeopolíticaEuropeUS Politics5m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actualNo 95%
Calidad del mercado
66 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
4,2 €
Liquidez
12,1 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
5.2% / 5.6%
Spread
0.4 pt
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
+0.3 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
12 ene 26, 22:5731 dic 26, 0:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Yes5%
Comparar plataformas· No
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMejor en general | Media | 95% | +90pt | 4,2 € | 12,1 mil € | hace 6 minutos | |
 Kalshi87% de coincidencia · auto | Baja | 95% | +90pt | 0 € | 20,9 mil € | hace 26 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Kalshi
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
5m
95%
5%
49 • Baja calidadSpread moderadoLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución
Volumen total49,6 mil €
Volumen 24h0 €
KALSHIReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$53 jul22d de datos27 jul
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.