KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 95%
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
20,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
3.0% / 4.9%
Spread
1.9 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
6 ene 26, 22:00 UTC1 ene 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsAlberta votes YES in independence referendum by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Greenland hold an independence referendum in 2026?
PredictItReglas
If Greenland has held an independence referendum after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 whose outcome is a majority of voters vote for independence, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A referendum to join another country will also be considered as an independence referendum for this purpose.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
2 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia ponderada por liquidez de CoinRithm para Referencia CoinRithm es del 5%. Las cotizaciones difieren en unos 1 punto porcentual entre las plataformas más alejadas.
Referencia CoinRithm 5% · 2 plataformas · 1 pt de dispersion entre venues
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 95% a fecha de 12 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Greenland has held an independence referendum after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 whose outcome is a majority of voters vote for independence, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Polymarket.