Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 94%
Pronosticadores
31
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado23 sept 23, 13:40 UTC1 ene 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Cape independence is the political movement to make the Western Cape province, and often other regions of the Eastern and Northern Cape provinces, an independent state from the rest of South Africa.
- This market will resolve affirmatively if a political party, group, or referendum representing a plurality of the residents of the Cape (or any substantial subset of territory therein, such as Cape Town) declare their independence from South Africa before the beginning of 2030.
