Pronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 73.1%
Pronosticadores
90
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado18 ago 23, 12:37 UTC1 ene 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?
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KalshiWill the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
PolymarketAfD in a German state government in 2026?
KalshiReglas
Will resolve YES if the AfD (Alternative for Germany) enters any federal or state government by the year 2030.
- Extensive polling data here: Neueste Wahlumfragen und Umfragewerte | DAWUM
- Related market:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Symmetry/will-the-afd-still-exist-by-the-yea)
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 73% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030??
- Está previsto que Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Will resolve YES if the AfD (Alternative for Germany) enters any federal or state government by the year 2030.