KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
AfD 77%Líder entre 7 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
57 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
49,3 €
Liquidez
18,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
28 jul 26, 16:23 UTC25 mar 30, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Who will be elected Chancellor after the next German federal election?
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KalshiWho will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiReglas
If AfD wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Bundeswahlausschuss
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
- If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. For purposes of this market, the seats won by the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Christian Social Union (CSU) will be combined and treated as a single CDU/CSU option
- This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls.
- See full rules for details.
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Next German federal election winner??
- Kalshi cotiza AfD al 77% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Next German federal election winner??
- Está previsto que Next German federal election winner? se resuelva el 25 de marzo de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Next German federal election winner??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If AfD wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.