Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualOther 59.9%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
32
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado26 feb 25, 3:03 UTC31 dic 29, 23:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Who replaces Merz as Chancellor if he gets replaced before the next German federal election?
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KalshiWill the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?
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Manifold MarketsWho will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiReglas
This market pertains to the next German federal election, scheduled to occur on or before 25 March 2029.
- This market will resolve to the first Chancellor elected by the Bundestag following the next German federal election.
- If no federal election occurs by 2030, or an election is held but no Chancellor is elected before then, this market will resolve to "the named outcome".
