Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualAfD 89.6%Líder entre 8 opciones
Pronosticadores
23
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado27 feb 25, 0:44 UTC31 dic 29, 23:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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PolymarketReglas
This market resolves based on the results of the next German federal election.
- For each party listed:
- Resolves YES if the party wins more seats in the Bundestag compared to the number of seats it won in the 2025 federal election
- Resolves NO if the party wins the same number or fewer seats.
- If no election is held by 2030, all options will resolve NO.