Will Russia launch a full scale military attack against Poland by the end of 2029?
GeopolíticaOne-OffRussia / UkraineEurope3a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 87.9%
Pronosticadores
33
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 50 minutos
Retrasado14 ene 24, 15:13 UTC31 dic 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
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If Russia exerts kinetic military action in the territory of Poland by December 31st, 2029, then the resolution of this market will be “Yes”.
- Kinetic military action excludes electronic and cybernetic war resources and includes the shooting of projectiles, troops, and military vehicles deployment inside a territory.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Russia launch a full scale military attack against Poland by the end of 2029??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 88% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Russia launch a full scale military attack against Poland by the end of 2029??
- Está previsto que Will Russia launch a full scale military attack against Poland by the end of 2029? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Russia launch a full scale military attack against Poland by the end of 2029??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Russia exerts kinetic military action in the territory of Poland by December 31st, 2029, then the resolution of this market will be “Yes”.