Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?
One-OffGeopolíticaOriente MedioRusia / Ucrania4a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 55.9%
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63
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binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado11 jun 24, 19:40 UTC1 ene 31, 22:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Criteria for Resolution:
- Definition of "New Country":
- - A "new country" refers to any country that is not being invaded and/or at least partially occupied by Russia or its proxies as of June 11, 2024.
- This excludes Ukraine, Moldova, and Georgia.
- Syria is also included for the sake of consistency, while there may be ambiguity on the correspondence of its case to the formal definitions given in this description.
- Definition of Invasion: