Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 55.9%
Pronosticadores
62
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 41 minutos
11 jun 24, 19:40 UTC1 ene 31, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which countries will Russia invade by the end of 2030?
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PolymarketReglas
Criteria for Resolution:
- Definition of "New Country":
- - A "new country" refers to any country that is not being invaded and/or at least partially occupied by Russia or its proxies as of June 11, 2024.
- This excludes Ukraine, Moldova, and Georgia.
- Syria is also included for the sake of consistency, while there may be ambiguity on the correspondence of its case to the formal definitions given in this description.
- Definition of Invasion:
Mercados abiertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 22,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 470,8 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volumen total
- 35,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 100,1 mil €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 resultados más
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
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- Volumen total
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 56% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030??
- Está previsto que Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2031.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Criteria for Resolution: