Will Russia control at least 95% of Donbass at the end of October 2026?
GeopolíticaOne-OffRusia / Ucrania
Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado se resolvió: No (96.7%)
Resuelto: 2 nov 2026, 0:12
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Resultado Ganador
No
A 7 días
—
A 24 horas
94%
ConsensoCronología de Probabilidad
Yes3.3%
No96.7%
Ganada
Perdida
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if the Russian Federation has de facto control of at least 95.00% of the Donbass region at the close date.
- This market will resolve NO if the Russian Federation has de facto control of less than 95.00% of the Donbass region at the close date.
- Resolution sources
- Should the Russia-Ukraine conflict reach a formal conclusion by the close date, the resolution of this market will be informed by a consensus of media reports, if one exists.
- If the conflict is ongoing at the close date, or the extent of Russia’s territorial control is uncertain, the market will resolve according to estimates obtained from the following sources:
