Will Russia control at least 95% of Donbass at the end of January 2027?
One-OffRussia / UkraineGeopolítica4mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 62.6%
Pronosticadores
10
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado31 dic 25, 1:06 UTC1 feb 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Russia control 100% of donbass before 2027 ?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia control at least 95% of Donbass at the end of October 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia control the Ukrainian access to the Black Sea and the Sea of Azov at the end of 2026?
FutuurRussia to control Crimea through the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Russia control at least 85% of the four annexed oblasts at the end of October 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if the Russian Federation has de facto control of at least 95.00% of the Donbass region at the close date.
- This market will resolve NO if the Russian Federation has de facto control of less than 95.00% of the Donbass region at the close date.
- Resolution sources
- Should the Russia-Ukraine conflict reach a formal conclusion by the close date, the resolution of this market will be informed by a consensus of media reports, if one exists.
- If the conflict is ongoing at the close date, or the extent of Russia’s territorial control is uncertain, the market will resolve according to estimates obtained from the following sources:
Mercados abiertos
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 22,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 473 mil €
POLYMARKETRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
- United Russia (ER)+0.6pt100%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)-0.1pt0%
- A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%
+5 resultados más
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt14%
- December-1.0pt7%
- September 30,-0.1pt1%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA+0.5pt8%
- International Court of Justice-1.0pt6%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETUnited Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
- 325–339-0.5pt37.1%
- 340–354+2.0pt24.7%
- 310–324-5.0pt22.7%
POLYMARKETBank of Russia decision in September?
- No Change-1.0pt68.7%
- Decrease+1.5pt28.3%
- Increase-1.3pt3%
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
- Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Russia control at least 95% of Donbass at the end of January 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 63% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Russia control at least 95% of Donbass at the end of January 2027??
- Está previsto que Will Russia control at least 95% of Donbass at the end of January 2027? se resuelva el 1 de febrero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Russia control at least 95% of Donbass at the end of January 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria