Will Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict?
GeopolíticaOne-OffMiddle East3aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 69.4%
Pronosticadores
59
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado29 ene 24, 10:42 UTC29 dic 29, 0:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the current Israel-Hamas conflict last ten years, as some senior Israeli officials warned during Biden's trip?
Manifold MarketsWill Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel before the Israel–Hamas war ends?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel win the 2023 Israel–Hamas war?
Manifold MarketsIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by which date?
FutuurIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by which date?
PolymarketReglas
An undeclared war is festering all along the hill country that separates Israel and Lebanon.
- It involves nearly as many troops as the war in the Gaza Strip.
- So far it's a largely static battle of missiles, artillery, bombing raids and stealthy infiltration On the Lebanese side, around 74,500 people have been displaced by the fighting, the Israeli military says more than 1,700 rockets have been fired from Lebanon toward Israel) Lebanon does not recognise Israel as a country and does not accept Israeli passports. however war for Lebanon an already economically crippled country would be disastrous for their infrastructure and already damaged economy which is still recovering from the Beirut explosion on the 4th of August 2020.
- Question closes when either Israel-Hamas Conflict is resolved or war is declared between Lebanon and Israel.
Mercados abiertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 22,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 470,8 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volumen total
- 35,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 100,1 mil €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 resultados más
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 69% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict??
- Está previsto que Will Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict? se resuelva el 29 de diciembre de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: An undeclared war is festering all along the hill country that separates Israel and Lebanon.