PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónProbabilidad implícita actualJune 30 3%+0.1%Líder entre 7 opciones
Calidad del mercado
52 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
414,5 €
Liquidez
17,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
2.7% / 3.9%
Spread
44.4%
Spread amplioCambio 7d
-6.2%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
10 oct 25, 15:2730 jun 26, 0:00
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Resultado elegido
June 303%
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On October 9, Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- Announcements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to "Yes"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to "Yes".
- The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.